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Jose de Jesus Rodriguez, the tour's leading money winner, was done in by a double-bogey at 10 and a bogey at 12. He shot a two-under 69 and took second at minus-12.
Last year's winner, and the 2008 champion Dustin Risdon, who shared the third- round lead with Leon, struggled to a two-over 73 and tied for third place with Richard Scott, who fired a five-under 66 on Sunday. The pair came in at 11- under 273.
Rodriguez birdied No. 6 to tie Leon, but a Leon bogey at the par-five seventh gave the tour's money leader sole possession of first place.
Leon's margin grew after Rodriguez double-bogeyed the par-four 10th. Rodriguez also bogeyed the 12th and Leon was four strokes clear of the field.
The defending champion fell three behind after a bogey at the 14th. Rodriguez parred his last five to get into the clubhouse at 12-under par.
Josh Habig fired a five-under 66 and tied for eighth with Garrett Sapp, who had a one-under 70 on Sunday, at seven-under 277.
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Martin Kaymer returned to third in this week's world rankings, despite a disappointing fourth-place finish at the Open de France. Kaymer supplanted U.S. Open champion Rory McIlroy after just one week in third place.
Luke Donald and Lee Westwood remained in first and second, followed by Kaymer and McIlroy. Steve Stricker kept the fifth spot, followed by Phil Mickelson.
Masters champion Charl Schwartzel and Dustin Johnson both sank one to 11th and 12th. Paul Casey stayed at No. 13, but K.J. Choi, who was second to Watney at Aronimink, vaulted up two to 14th. Bubba Watson dipped three to 15.
Ian Poulter fell two to 16th and Tiger Woods held on to No. 17. Adam Scott joined the top 20 thanks to a tie for third at the AT&T National. Robert Karlsson and Hunter Mahan both sank one to round out the top 20.
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - PGA TOUR - JOHN DEERE CLASSIC, TPC Deere Run, Silvis, Illinois - For the eighth year in a row, the PGA Tour will stage the John Deere Classic the week before the British Open. And for the second year in a row, Steve Stricker will look to defend his title at TPC Deere Run.
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Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting
So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.
Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?
If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)
Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).
In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.
Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.
| The Bubble Breakdown | |||
| CONFERENCE | LOCKS | SHOULD BE INS | AT-LARGES TAKEN (assuming no auto bid outlier) |
| ACC Betting Odds | 6 | 0 | 5 |
| Big East Betting Odds | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| Big Ten Betting Odds | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Big 12 Betting Odds | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Pac-10 Betting Odds | 5 | 1 | 5 |
| SEC Betting Odds | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| MVC Betting Odds | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| MWC Betting Odds | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| TOTAL | 28 | 5 | 25 |
As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.
(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)
If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.
Atlantic Coast Conference
Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech
The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.
Work left to do:
Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.
Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).
Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.
For more College Basketball betting lines go to MySportsbook.com
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